Free Horse Racing Tips: Ballarat
Today’s free horse racing tips are concentrated on Victoria’s Ballarat meeting. The provincial level races begin with race 1 at 12:30pm local time which will include our best bet of the program. The best value bet today will be in race 2, so we will be aiming for an early profit. Hopefully we will be filled up for the later races on the program where we have also identified some key winning chances.
Track: Ballarat, Victoria.
Tips: 4 (Races 1,2,7,8.)
Start time: 12:30 (Race 1 local time)
Weather: Cloudy. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the early morning.
Wind: Winds southeasterly 20 to 25 km/h tending southerly 25 to 30 km/h before dawn then increasing to 30 to 40 km/h in the morning.
Track: GOOD4 – Probable downgrade with any rain.
Rail: Out 11m 600m – WP, Out 3m Remainder.
TRACK RATING: Today for BRAT on 30 Jan 2018 is: Good 4, Peno:N/A, Rain:24hr 0mm/7day 16mm, Irr:24hr 12mm/7day 64mm
— RVStewards (@RVStewards) January 28, 2018
|Track Details for Ballarat||Vic|
Wednesday, 30th of January, 2018.
Best Bet: Race 1 – #1 NASAAYIM – ($1.70).
Best Value: Race 2 – #12 NIGHT IN PARADISE – ($6.00/$2.00).
Two-Years-Old. Maiden Set Weights or WFA flat. Maiden. Fillies. Set Weights. 2-Y-O Fillies Maiden Plte. 1200m.
This is a very open race and tough to pick a standout winner with great confidence. A late bet after getting a look at the 2-year-olds in the parade ring looks the smart play here. NASAAYIM looks the horse to beat after his debut effort up the Flemington straight when finishing a very close 2nd to Al Dorama. Won a trial at Wodonga before that run and jumped as the $2.60 favourite. Worked home very strongly and hit the line hard. He has clearly got some ability but was just a bit green and looking around on debut. Gets the winkers applied here which should suit well. She was a 650K yearling purchase and her dam was a dual stakes winner, expect her to improve and she’ll be very hard to beat.
Wouldn’t be shocked by any of them winning here, but thought the main dangers were MELVEEN and SOLAR STAR. Melveen is a first-starter trained by Henry Dwyer and ridden by Ryan Maloney. They have a lethal combination with 9 wins from 26 rides (36%) in the past 12 months. This filly has a full sister who won on debut and she was scratched from some bigger metropolitan races over the weekend for this one. She’s had a jump-out leading in where she finished 3rd under relatively quiet riding. She was slowly away and time was very quick for the day to add merit to the run. She showed good turn-of-foot and could be a threat here on debut. Respect the market moves.
Solar Star has been racing okay with plenty of excuses. Her debut effort was very good and she showed good speed, finished half a length behind Graceful Storm, who has subsequently won at Sandown, finishing ahead of Al Dorama(beat home NASAAYIM). She has since been to Sydney and was given a terrible ride and did a bit wrong but was far from disgraced. Back to Melbourne and Blinkers going on first time expect her to put in a career best run and be the biggest threat to the favourite.
Free horse racing tip: 5 Nasaayim – Win – $1.70
Quinella: 1st=5-6/2nd = 1-5-6.
Three-Years-Old and Upwards. Maiden Set Weights or WFA flat. Maiden. Fillies and Mares. Set Weights. Fillies & Mares Mdn Plte. 1100m.
After a tough and open first race, the second race on the card looks a race with only a few winning hopes. The best looks to be NIGHT IN PARADISE who is first-up in her second prep. Her first-up effort last prep when on debut was very good, she ran a strong 1100m and finished 2nd. It wasn’t a strong field behind her but she had them beaten comfortably. That was on a heavy track so if it does rain, it should only help her chances. Pulled up with excuses at only other start before spelling. Should get a lovely on-pace run from barrier 1 and is she has improved since last prep she’ll be winning.
The dangers are the favourites but both look risky at their current prices. WUJIMU is improving and comes off the back of a career best performance but she did get all the favours. And CASTLEFIELD LASS has drawn wide and is first up after a long break. Has had a couple of quiet trials leading in but looks unders.
Free horse racing tip: 12 Night In Paradise – ew – $6.00/$2.00.
No age restriction. Class 1. No sex restriction. Handicap. Class 1 Hcp. 1200m.
Free horse racing tip: 5 Bolek – each-way – $4.50/$2.25.
Three-Years-Old and Upwards. Rating Based. BenchMark 64. Fillies and Mares. Handicap. Fillies & Mares BM64 Hcp. 1100m.
Free horse racing tip: 8 Penalty – each-way – $4.60/$2.38.
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